Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 88.920642 99.165708 109.623858 121.067775 133.208255 145.675330 159.416944
2025-02-02 74.866080 89.849862 105.788951 123.885172 143.743205 164.762577 188.585472
2025-02-09 63.995169 81.372501 100.452271 122.708807 147.722664 174.751962 205.955731
2025-02-16 55.563762 74.526714 95.952310 121.543004 150.891549 183.149374 220.945773
2025-02-23 49.933978 70.256528 93.803375 122.499411 155.965919 193.261652 237.480426
2025-03-02 44.638144 65.860921 91.061896 122.365365 159.444413 201.288214 251.426644
2025-03-09 40.527866 62.542291 89.286122 123.084064 163.672176 209.979216 265.971377
2025-03-16 35.983294 58.292855 86.060051 121.783616 165.286950 215.464413 276.681545
2025-03-23 33.340331 56.294881 85.451187 123.513788 170.387590 224.921321 291.920242
2025-03-30 31.121191 54.679407 85.182895 125.546087 175.762649 234.640885 307.429745
2025-04-06 27.991922 51.571984 82.800412 124.769090 177.588040 240.056412 317.817484
2025-04-13 24.471382 47.632772 79.102918 122.129137 176.961241 242.415746 324.491789
2025-04-20 23.589844 47.503320 80.505461 126.089510 184.608865 254.841837 343.280381
2025-04-27 22.362709 46.765049 81.022202 128.863744 190.763038 265.476091 359.971745
2025-05-04 19.946308 44.013395 78.616886 127.676187 191.823984 269.841279 369.094523
2025-05-11 17.752888 41.423015 76.294223 126.479269 192.778971 274.007377 377.926142
2025-05-18 16.386335 40.059733 75.638265 127.459432 196.480051 281.528442 390.808011
2025-05-25 14.826807 38.236894 74.217796 127.322055 198.679623 287.152019 401.360290
2025-06-01 13.624177 36.923627 73.474009 128.058268 201.977414 294.120474 413.546817
2025-06-08 12.017937 34.734285 71.306051 126.726115 202.494398 297.560297 421.372941
2025-06-15 11.259764 34.039598 71.370738 128.498438 207.094591 306.131440 435.523803
2025-06-22 10.622460 33.518113 71.668743 130.579953 212.096812 315.213194 450.320047
2025-06-29 9.434075 31.794158 69.998412 129.784177 213.207772 319.330778 458.949280